Dear Friends,

ADR and Karnataka Election Watch (KEW) have analysed the vote share for the 222 constituencies in the Karnataka Assembly Elections, 2018. The elections in two constituencies namely Jayanagar and Rajarajeshwari Nagar have not been held.

Summary and Highlights

 

Figure: Number of Political Parties: 2013 Vs 2018

 

  • In the Karnataka Assembly Elections 2018, 83 political parties and independents were in the fray. These included, 6 national political parties, 8 state political parties and 69 registered unrecognized parties. In comparison, during the 2013 Karnataka State Assembly elections, 59 political parties were in the fray. These included, 6 national political parties, 7 state political parties and 45 registered unrecognized parties. This reflects that there has been 41% increase in the number of political parties that contested in 2018 from 2013.
  • The voter turnout for the Karnataka Assembly was 74% whereas voter turnout in 2013 assembly elections was 71%.

 

  • Vote Share of Winners

                                                                

Figure: Comparative Analysis – Vote Share of Winners

Figure: No. of Winners- Vote Share

                                                                                                              

Winners with highest vote share:  99(45%) winners won with 50% and above of the total votes polled in their constituency. The top 3 winners who have attained the highest vote share during the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2018 are given below: 

S.No.

Winner

Party for Winner

Constituency

Total Registered Voters

Total Votes polled

Votes Polled for the Winner

% Vote share for the Winner

1

R. AKHANDA SRINIVASAMURTHY

Indian National Congress

Pulakeshinagar

231913

126432

97574

77%

2

D K SHIVAKUMAR

Indian National Congress

Kanakapura

220409

186152

127552

69%

3

DR. ASHWATH NARAYAN.C.N.

Bharatiya Janata Party

Malleshwaram

213537

123665

83130

67%

 Table: Winners with highest vote share

Winners with Least Vote Share: 123(55%) winners won with less than 50% of the total votes polled in their constituency. The top 3 winners who have attained the least vote share during the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2018 are given below: 

S.No.

Winner

Party for Winner

Constituency

Total Registered Voters

Total Votes polled

Votes Polled for Winner

% Vote share for Winner

1

DR. ANJALI HEMANT NIMBALKAR

Indian National Congress

Khanapur

204694

154219

36649

24%

2

YASHVANTHARAYGOUDA VITTALAGOUDA PATIL

Indian National Congress

Indi

228742

168111

50401

30%

3

D S SURESH

Bharatiya Janata Party

Tarikere

180224

149593

44940

30%

Table: Winners with Least Vote Share 

 

 

 Figure: Party Wise Winners with Less than 50% of Vote Share

 

  • Out of 104 winner of BJP, 53(51%) won with less than 50 % of total votes polled in their constituencies. 48(61%)  out of 78 winners  from INC; 19(50%) out of 38 winners from JD(S); 1(100%) winner each from KPJP and BSP have  won with less than 50% of total votes polled in their constituency.

  • 44(57%) out of 77 winners with declared criminal cases have won with a vote share of 50% and above.
  • 95(44%) out 215 crorepati winners have won with a vote share of 50% and above.
  • Representativeness of Winners

  • All the winners of the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2018 won with an average of 36% of the total registered voters. This implies that the winners represents on an average, 36% of the total electorate. In the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2013 won by an average of 32% of the total registered votes.

  • Out of 104 winner of BJP, 69(66%) have won less than 40% of votes of the total registered voters in the constituency. 61(78%) out of 78 winners from INC; 15(39%) out of 38 winners from JD(S); 1(100%) winner each from KPJP and BSP have won less than 40 % of votes of the total registered voters in the constituency.
  • Margin of Victory

  • Winners with Declared Criminal Cases and their Margin of Victory:
  1. 49 out of 77 winners with declared criminal cases have won against a runners up with a clean background.
  2.  Among these 49 winners, 12 winners have won with more than 20 % margin of victory.
  3. Among these, Dr. Ashwat H Narayan CN (BJP) from Malleshwaram constituency won with 44% margin of victory.
  • Crorepati Winners and their Margin of Victory:
  1. 18 out of 215 crorepati winners have won against a non-crorepati runners up.
  2. Among these 18 winners, 7 winners have won with more than 20 % margin of victory.
  3. Among these, Mr.  Yathindra S (INC) from Varuna constituency won with 33% margin of victory.

 

 Figure: Margin of Victory of Winners with declared criminal cases and Crorepati Winners

 

  • Performance of Women Winners

  •  Performance of Re-elected Winners

  • Out of total 94 re-elected winners, none have won with less than 32 % of vote share in their respective constituency. 45(48%) have won with more than 50% of vote share.
  • 21(22%) re-elected winners have won with less than 5% of margin of victory whereas 7 have won with more than 30% of margin of victory.
  • NOTA
  • The NOTA button instated by the ECI in 2013 gave the voters an options of rejecting all the candidates in their constituency. The total number of votes polled for None-of-the-above option were 322841 votes during the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2018.
  • Out of total votes polled for NOTA, 22% (70,941 votes) of votes were polled in 55 Red Alert Constituencies. Red Alert Constituencies refer to constituencies where among the contesting candidates, 3 or more candidates have declared criminal cases against themselves.

 

 

 

Contact

 

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Maj.Gen. Anil Verma (Retd)

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National Election Watch,

Association for Democratic Reforms

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[email protected],

[email protected]

Prof Jagdeep Chhokar

IIM Ahmedabad (Retd.)

Founder Member,

National Election Watch, Association for Democratic

Reforms

+91 99996 20944

[email protected]

 

Prof Trilochan Sastry

IIM Bangalore

Founder Member,

National Election Watch,

Association for Democratic Reforms

+91 94483 53285

[email protected]

Mr. Harish Narasappa

Karnataka State Co-ordinator
[email protected]

 

Dr. R. Balasubramaniam

Karnataka State Co-ordinator

+91-94480-79611

[email protected]

 

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