Dear Friends,

ADR and Karnataka Election Watch (KEW) have analysed the vote share for the 222 constituencies in the Karnataka Assembly Elections, 2018. The elections in two constituencies namely Jayanagar and Rajarajeshwari Nagar have not been held.

Summary and Highlights

Figure: Number of Political Parties: 2013 Vs 2018

In the Karnataka Assembly Elections 2018, 83 political parties and independents were in the fray. These included, 6 national political parties, 8 state political parties and 69 registered unrecognized parties. In comparison, during the 2013 Karnataka State Assembly elections, 59 political parties were in the fray. These included, 6 national political parties, 7 state political parties and 45 registered unrecognized parties. This reflects that there has been 41% increase in the number of political parties that contested in 2018 from 2013.
The voter turnout for the Karnataka Assembly was 74% whereas voter turnout in 2013 assembly elections was 71%.

Vote Share of Winners

Figure: Comparative Analysis – Vote Share of Winners

Figure: No. of Winners- Vote Share

Winners with highest vote share: 99(45%) winners won with 50% and above of the total votes polled in their constituency. The top 3 winners who have attained the highest vote share during the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2018 are given below:

S.No.	Winner	Party for Winner	Constituency	Total Registered Voters	Total Votes polled	Votes Polled for the Winner	% Vote share for the Winner
1	R. AKHANDA SRINIVASAMURTHY	Indian National Congress	Pulakeshinagar	231913	126432	97574	77%
2	D K SHIVAKUMAR	Indian National Congress	Kanakapura	220409	186152	127552	69%
3	DR. ASHWATH NARAYAN.C.N.	Bharatiya Janata Party	Malleshwaram	213537	123665	83130	67%

Table: Winners with highest vote share

Winners with Least Vote Share: 123(55%) winners won with less than 50% of the total votes polled in their constituency. The top 3 winners who have attained the least vote share during the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2018 are given below:

S.No.	Winner	Party for Winner	Constituency	Total Registered Voters	Total Votes polled	Votes Polled for Winner	% Vote share for Winner
1	DR. ANJALI HEMANT NIMBALKAR	Indian National Congress	Khanapur	204694	154219	36649	24%
2	YASHVANTHARAYGOUDA VITTALAGOUDA PATIL	Indian National Congress	Indi	228742	168111	50401	30%
3	D S SURESH	Bharatiya Janata Party	Tarikere	180224	149593	44940	30%

Table: Winners with Least Vote Share

Figure: Party Wise Winners with Less than 50% of Vote Share

Out of 104 winner of BJP, 53(51%) won with less than 50 % of total votes polled in their constituencies. 48(61%) out of 78 winners from INC; 19(50%) out of 38 winners from JD(S); 1(100%) winner each from KPJP and BSP have won with less than 50% of total votes polled in their constituency.

44(57%) out of 77 winners with declared criminal cases have won with a vote share of 50% and above.
95(44%) out 215 crorepati winners have won with a vote share of 50% and above.
Representativeness of Winners

All the winners of the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2018 won with an average of 36% of the total registered voters. This implies that the winners represents on an average, 36% of the total electorate. In the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2013 won by an average of 32% of the total registered votes.

Out of 104 winner of BJP, 69(66%) have won less than 40% of votes of the total registered voters in the constituency. 61(78%) out of 78 winners from INC; 15(39%) out of 38 winners from JD(S); 1(100%) winner each from KPJP and BSP have won less than 40 % of votes of the total registered voters in the constituency.
Margin of Victory

Winners with Declared Criminal Cases and their Margin of Victory:

49 out of 77 winners with declared criminal cases have won against a runners up with a clean background.
Among these 49 winners, 12 winners have won with more than 20 % margin of victory.
Among these, Dr. Ashwat H Narayan CN (BJP) from Malleshwaram constituency won with 44% margin of victory.

Crorepati Winners and their Margin of Victory:

18 out of 215 crorepati winners have won against a non-crorepati runners up.
Among these 18 winners, 7 winners have won with more than 20 % margin of victory.
Among these, Mr. Yathindra S (INC) from Varuna constituency won with 33% margin of victory.

Figure: Margin of Victory of Winners with declared criminal cases and Crorepati Winners

Performance of Women Winners

Performance of Re-elected Winners

Out of total 94 re-elected winners, none have won with less than 32 % of vote share in their respective constituency. 45(48%) have won with more than 50% of vote share.
21(22%) re-elected winners have won with less than 5% of margin of victory whereas 7 have won with more than 30% of margin of victory.

NOTA

The NOTA button instated by the ECI in 2013 gave the voters an options of rejecting all the candidates in their constituency. The total number of votes polled for None-of-the-above option were 322841 votes during the Karnataka State Assembly Elections, 2018.
Out of total votes polled for NOTA, 22% (70,941 votes) of votes were polled in 55 Red Alert Constituencies. Red Alert Constituencies refer to constituencies where among the contesting candidates, 3 or more candidates have declared criminal cases against themselves.